27 Oct '11, 4pm

Study: hydrogen fuel cell vehicles will grow slower than expected

Considering that the first commercially affordable(non experimental) FCV is likely to come in 2015-2016 possibly from Nissan or from Mercedes. I see that by 2018-2019 they might have sold about 20,000 cars even if the larger fan base of FCV's jump in on the opportunity. So by the end of 2020 there will be less than about 100,000 FCV cars on the road around the world. My prediction is that SUV's rather than small cars will sell well in the FCV/plugin-FCV world. On the other hand, larger vehicles like long distance government(or large organization) operated buses and short distance heavy fleet trucks have much higher adoption chance. From the looks of the market right now, short distance city buses are pretty much going to be gobbled by the EV segment, with really fast charging capabilities. Even in campus specialty trucks will probably go the EV way(like trucks to move thin...

Full article: http://green.autoblog.com/2011/10/27/study-hydrogen-fuel-...

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