03 May '11, 12pm

Busting the myths of the Alternative Vote | Nic Marks << must read, this one!

Busting the myths of the Alternative Vote | Nic Marks << must read, this one!

AV will be fairer: well slightly but it is well short of being a fair system. The Conservatives and Labour between them got 65% of the votes cast in England, Scotland and Wales, yet ended up with 87% of the MPs. Under AV this would drop to 82%. Meanwhile Liberal Democrats got 23% of the vote but only 9% of the seats – which would rise to 13% under AV. So a small step but hardly a giant leap. AV will allow parties to win from third or fourth place: theoretically possible but statistically unlikely – in our simulation of the 2010 election no candidate won from third place and only 41 seats had a winner from ‘second place’ AV will create more extreme results: In six out of the seven elections studied the working majority for the sitting government would have been reduced, only in the 1997 Labour landslide would the majority go up, even then by only 10 seats (from 157 to 167) ...

Full article: http://www.neweconomics.org/blog/2011/05/03/busting-the-m...

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