24 Oct '11, 11pm

Physicists: We predicted the earth would warm, then it did, because that's how science works.

Laudably, Muller’s group have submitted their research to peer-reviewed journals, and the submitted drafts are available on their website . Amidst a number of verifications of already well-established results on the fidelity of the surface station trends, they also claim to have discovered something new. In their paper Decadal Variations in the Global Atmospheric Land Temperatures , they find that the largest contributor to global average temperature variability on short (2-5 year) timescales in not the El Nino-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) (as everyone else believes), but is actually the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO). This is pretty esoteric stuff, but it would actually be quite interesting if it were true — though we hasten to add that even if true it would have no significant bearing on the interpretation of long term temperature trends. Before anyone gets too e...

Full article: http://www.realclimate.org/index.php/archives/2011/10/ber...

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