01 Mar '13, 2pm

Dot Earth Blog: More on Divergent Paths to Human Progress: A fresh exploration of ways to forge progress on a

The University of Illinois has posted a well-produced video of my talk there last October, titled “9 Billion People + 1 Earth = ? ” It’s worth posting here given that this has been the central question shaping this blog since its inception. I explore many ideas, but focus particularly on the need to get comfortable with the wide range of human reactions to risks of various kinds. (Around minute 13, I credit the “cultural cognition ” work of Dan Kahan at Yale University.) This means there won’t be a clean and neat path to progress, nor should there be. It also means, as Abhas Jha of the World Bank has put it in the context of disaster planning, we need to manage risk for “graceful failure ” — soft landings amid uncertainty and imperfection. As I’ve put it, that’s the art of “falling forward without falling down ” (one definition of walking). Here’s my talk, with one transcr...

Full article: http://dotearth.blogs.nytimes.com/2013/03/01/more-on-dive...

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