27 Jun '11, 1pm

“A Little Knowledge”: Why The Biggest Problem With Climate “Skeptics” May Be Their Confidence

“A Little Knowledge”: Why The Biggest Problem With Climate “Skeptics” May Be Their Confidence

In almost every case where one of those "mathematical sophisticates" claims to have blown a hole in some aspect of climate science, you will find at least one show-stopping blunder or oversight. Examples: Studies claiming that the MWP was warmer than it is now often overlook the lack of syncronicity of warm spells around the world then. That is, hot spells in Africa, Europe, South America, etc, occurred at different times, indicating that heat was just "sloshing around" the planet (as opposed to the planet warming as a whole). The "hockey sticks from random noise" argument overlooks one simple and obvious fact -- the very algorithm used to produce the hockey stick will tell you whether the data you are processing is just random noise or does contain a real average temperature signal. All you have to do is look at the eigenvalue magnitudes. Compare Mann's tree-ring eigenval...

Full article: http://www.desmogblog.com/little-knowledge-why-biggest-pr...

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