12 Aug '12, 8pm

Why an ice-free arctic is inevitable, in three easy charts.

Area and volume records should fall easily, but extent could be the sceptic’s salvation. Traditionally, the difference between extent and area was minutia. The vast chunk in the middle was solid and thick. Area pretty much equalled extent minus the comings and goings of ice on the fringe. Now it’s all getting fringey. Has any run of any major model approximated the actual behavior of the ice over the last 10 years, including a reasonable extrapolation of 2012? Or, what’s the worst run ever spit out by a current model? A graph would be wonderful :-)

Full article: http://www.realclimate.org/index.php/archives/2012/08/arc...

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