24 Jul '12, 5pm

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No one likes to be left out. (Photo by charamelody .) Last week, I highlighted some energy projections from 2000 or so that substantially underestimated the growth of renewables. Mainly I wanted an excuse to repost Michael Noble’s list . So as not to merely thieve, I added a few musings of my own, reflecting my ongoing obsessions with the dynamics of distributed energy and the values-based assumptions buried in economic models. I didn’t think about it all that much, to be honest, nor did I aspire to offer a comprehensive account of why projections fail. (The much-more-qualified Nate Silver has a book on that subject coming out in September.) Turns out, though, the post was quite popular! It has now been linked to by both David Leonhardt and Paul Krugman of The New York Times . Normally I’d be thrilled, but the post in question has the unfortunate feature of being, um, wron...

Full article: http://grist.org/renewable-energy/what-i-left-out-when-i-...

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