19 Jul '12, 5pm

In 2000, IEA said wind power would

In 2000, IEA said wind power would

Highballs are better than lowballs. Last month, Michael Noble of Fresh Energy put up a fascinating list of projections made by energy experts around 2000 or so. (I got there via Brad Plumer .) Suffice to say, the projections did not fare well. They were badly wrong, and all in the same direction — they underestimated the growth of renewable energy. It’s worth quoting the whole list: WIND In 2000, the International Energy Agency (IEA) published its World Energy Outlook , predicting that non-hydro renewable energy would comprise 3 percent of global energy by 2020. That benchmark was reached in 2008 . In 2000, IEA projected that there would be 30 gigawatts of wind power worldwide by 2010, but the estimate was off by a factor of 7. Wind power produced 200 gigawatts in 2010, an investment of approximately $400 billion . In 1999, the U.S. Department of Energy estimated that tota...

Full article: http://grist.org/renewable-energy/experts-in-2000-lowball...

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