02 Apr '12, 10am

Evaluating a 1981 temperature projection

Evaluating a 1981 temperature projection

To conclude, a projection from 1981 for rising temperatures in a major science journal, at a time that the temperature rise was not yet obvious in the observations, has been found to agree well with the observations since then, underestimating the observed trend by about 30%, and easily beating a naive predictions of no-change or a linear continuation of trends. It is also a nice example of a statement based on theory that could be falsified and up to now has withstood the test. The “global warming hypothesis” has been developed according to the principles of sound science.

Full article: http://www.realclimate.org/index.php/archives/2012/04/eva...

Tweets

Revisiting global temperature predictions made ...

realclimate.org 12 Apr '12, 3pm

palindrom (#27 on the WUWT article)- I’m doing my graduate work in the area of oxygen isotope paleothermometry (which I do...