11 Nov '11, 3pm

How Extreme Weather Increases With Global Warming - The Basic Version

How Extreme Weather Increases With Global Warming - The Basic Version

A more technical version of this article, written by Rob Painting, is available at Skeptical Science . It seems common sense that as the Earth warms we will see more record-breaking warm extremes, and less cold ones. What the authors of a recent study, Rahmstorf & Coumou (2011) , sought to find out is how much of these extreme events can we put down to the slowly evolving change in climate, and how much is due to random variations in weather. The authors developed a statistical approach to evaluate record-breaking events. They found that long-term warming increased the odds of record warm events in global temperature, and when applied to the 2010 monster summer heatwave in Moscow, Russia , they calculated an 80% probability the record-breaking heatwave would not have happened without climate warming. Analogy time - If it floats your boat Before going any further, a useful ...

Full article: http://www.treehugger.com/climate-change/how-extreme-weat...

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