23 Sep '11, 12pm

What If The World Population Doesn't Stabilize At 10bn?

When I posted about a study forecasting that electric cars may not be cost competitive until 2030 , fellow TreeHugger Mike reminded me that prediction is always a dangerous game. Yet when experts tell us that the future will look like this, or like that, we tend to listen. Yale360 has a fascinating piece on one of the most commonly touted predictions for the coming century—that the Global population will stabilize around 10bn. But, asks Carl Haub, what if experts are wrong and we keep going to a population of 16bn ? The consequences could be dire indeed: But we must face facts. The assumption that all developing countries will see their birth rates decline to the low levels now prevalent in Europe is very far from certain. We can also expect the large majority of population growth to be in countries and areas with the highest poverty and lowest levels of education. Today, ...

Full article: http://www.treehugger.com/files/2011/09/what-if-the-world...

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