18 Aug '11, 1pm

Revisiting Climate and the Food Supply

Revisiting Climate and the Food Supply

Bloomberg News A wheat field in Cambridge, England, awaiting harvesting last week. When I was researching a June article on the threat that climate change poses to the food supply, scientists described numerous difficulties they have encountered in seeking to forecast food production. They cited uncertainty about whether crops would be hit harder by drought or heat. They also acknowledged that they had not found good ways to factor short-term weather shocks into their projections, even though such shocks are expected to increase on a warming planet. Now comes a new paper that starts to tackle these problems, at least for one region of the world. It is a forecast for wheat production in Europe, and it has limitations. But I suspect it can serve as a model of the kind of research that is needed in many regions to try to clarify the climate-related risks to agriculture worldw...

Full article: http://green.blogs.nytimes.com/2011/08/18/revisiting-clim...

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