03 Aug '11, 3pm

The Bias Trap: Are We All Just A Bunch of Motivated Reasoners?

A responder complained that I had not done my homework, that I was, essentially, just one of the CWM skeptics hiding from the "truth". This is my reply: Caerbannog888, Youre right. I cant do the code. But I understand the value and weakness of computer models as I have worked with geological and geophysical models for years, and drilled wells on the results. We who do this dont have a problem with the often different results; we understand the limits to knowledge. Models, we might say, have a lot of data, but it is mostly soft. Observations, we might say, have not much data, but it is all hard. So I am, through experience, only convinced by models once they have been demonstrated to work, and work more than once. Climate science is no different than any other science. The method is about taking correlations and finding a way to make correlations into causations. That is no...

Full article: http://www.desmogblog.com/bias-trap-are-we-all-just-bunch...

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