06 Jan '12, 2pm

Drumbeat: January 6, 2012

Peak oil is moving back fast as permitted dinner time talk - and even office time action on futures and options. And the reasons are multiple, well known, but heavily discounted until now. Through late 2011, many times, the IEA's chief economist Fatih Birol has outlined how radically the IEA sees the oil price outlook. Lost in the climate crisis talk however, the oil price message was often sidelined. Birol's agency in November said this: "If fossil fuel (energy) infrastructure is not rapidly changed, the world will lose for ever the chance to avoid dangerous climate change", but the oil price punch line came later. Birol has many times provided the IEA's estimate of how oil prices levered up through 2011, despite the European crisis, near-recession in the US, recession in Japan and falling growth in China and India.

Full article: http://www.theoildrum.com/node/8813

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